Equity Markets |
Volatile Markets and Capitalizing on
chaos
Making sense of the Sensex definitely calls for brave
hearts, if not strong minds, given the extremely volatile markets we have had in
recent times. Blame it on the new system, set to make its debut soon, which has been
adding to the swinging markets. The demise of deferral products like badla is causing the
nervousness in the market place and thereby creating a chaos like situation.![]()
MNC open offers and their impact
Today one opens the papers and is flooded with news about
buybacks, at attractive offer prices especially by MNCs. Why does a MNC make an open
offer to acquire all the shares of the domestic shareholders, what are the aims behind it,
how does it impact the company and its future?![]()
Interpreting the Results carefully
With the quarterly results becoming a norm, investors are
flooded with a deluge of information. But what should an investor focus on - the year on
year results or the quarter on quarter results - What if they show conflicting trends? One
shows a revenue growth and the other a profit growth, which is more important or
indicative of a trend?![]()
The rules of the new game
Come July 2nd, SEBI will be enforcing some important
decisions to streamline market operations. With the introduction of rolling settlement,
options on individual stocks and ban of deferral products a new era will be launched in
the history of the stock market here in India. After the advent of the NSE and
dematerialisation of stocks, this may be the most important set of changes in the stock
market.![]()
Bye bye Badla, Options are here
finally
It's time now to say good bye to Badla and all such deferral
products like ALBM and BLESS. Come July 2, the Indian bourses will be ushering into an era
of options finally. In a move which is bound to have far reaching implications, the market
regulator SEBI has finally decided to put a ban on badla and all deferral products,
effective July 2, 2001.![]()
Some great paying scrips
And still the bear market continues. Even though
many stocks have fallen so much that they are now fairly valued -- or even undervalued --
investors are afraid to buy. Analysts across the board seem to agree that though the
valuations look attractive, may be the market has as yet not bottomed out and thus, may be
one should wait and watch.![]()
The MSCI turmoil
Every six months or so we have the clouds of the
MSCI index re vamp looming over us. The impact of the weight gainor loss in the index on
the foreign institutional inflows into the country, especially an emerging market like
India, is tremendous. But what is this MSCI index and why is it so important to emerging
markets such as India?![]()
Time to pick IT stocks selectively
Good IT stocks with clear cut business plans will rebound
from the current recession. The US economy is more robust than what was assumed and with
the recent fed rate cut, one would soon see the US economy bouncing back. This would give
a fillip to Indian IT companies ![]()
What drove the markets down ?
Since April 6th, 2001, the BSE 30 sensitive index shed 392
points, of which 125 points or 32% can be attributed to the drop in the price of petrochem
giant Reliance. With a weightage of 13.52%, in the sensex, Reliance, is the second largest
stock after HLL in the benchmark index ![]()
Will the techs rise again ?
Early signals from the Nasdaq will be crucial for pricing of tech stocks in the domestic
market. The recovery of the domestic market this time round is likely to be long-drawn,
but steady. So, for the time being, techies will be best avoided, what with more downsides
left ![]()
Two way fungibility is happening
ADR/GDR holders, can now take an active part in the buoyant M&A markets in India.
Earlier if an ADR holder wanted to offer his ADRs for participating in the open offer in
case of a takeover, these (ADRs) had to be first get converted into domestic shares to be
eligible. Not any more ![]()
Media keeps you entertained
There are a number of media stocks in the market like Balaji Telefilms, Mukta Arts, Crest
Communication etc. Investors can concentrate on the leaders like Balaji Telefilms and
Mukta Arts in which most growth mutual funds also have huge exposure ![]()
Why good results led to bad bourses?
It was a bright Wednesday morning of April, 2001. Infosys was due to come out with its
results. Every analyst worth his salt had predicted the results to be good. But one thing
that nobody expected was the impact that the results could have on the bourses. The
results sent the markets into a dizzy tailspin. Why did this happen?
Is the tech mania over, not really
India already enjoys significant competitive advantage (but other countries like the
Philippines, China, Mexico and some CIS countries are also increasingly gaining ground)
for software outsourcing (at US $5-6 billion, accounts for roughly 1% of global
outsourcing market), a phenomenon that is set to grow rapidly 
Just another Financial Scam
Hats off to greed, lust and money mania, the Indian stock
market has once again served a scam curry in a span of less than one decade. For those
with short memories, Indian investors had the first taste of stock market scam in 1992.
And, her tryst with doom has continued since then 
How to be a smart Online Investor
Investor protection - at its most basic and effective level - starts with the investor. In
this day and age, there simply is no substitute for a person's awareness and wariness. So
investors will do better in this fast moving environment if they have done their homework
before clicking away 
How to Diversify Your Stocks?
Weve often heard of "the secret of
successful investing is to diversify their risk" - so how does one go about this? And
what does diversification really mean - does it only mean that one should spread ones
portfolio across various types of assets, in terms of cash, debt, shares, mutual funds,
deposits etc? Or can one diversify ones portfolio even further?![]()
March Madness - Honey, is it all about
Money?
Hey, it's March Madness. The country finally
seems to have been realizing this cruel reality. But sadly it is too late now. The
infectious desease has striken back in its most horrible form. By now it is clear, the bug
of corruption has bit them all, be it bureaucrats, corporates, defence personnel or
politicians. The common people is a bewildered lot, and has been left asking one another -
honey, is it all about money? ![]()
Size Matters
Investing is not about avoiding risk but avoiding
it. To that end, an investor should always be reluctant to commit too much capital to a
single position. Not because you don't believe in your flair for stock picking, but
because sometimes the best way to manage risk is not to take it in the first place.![]()
Stock Market Crash - Bamiyan at
Bourses
While during the last week Bamiyan (in Afghanistan) was
being ravaged by the Taliban militia, another Bamiyan act was on full display at India's
bourses. The desi version of mission destruction (of wealth) saw several heads (equities)
rolling - courtesy local stock mafias. The irresponsible acts of some of the vested
interests once again shattered the markets across the country.![]()
Is it Pharma's Turn Now?
Currently after cement and petrochemicals, the
pharma is much a touted as a sector which is expected to experience a rally in the near
future. Traditionally also the Indian pharma sector has attracted good valuations. Due to
its export orientation, low costs and the product patents rather than process patents in
force, this sector has done well for itself in India as well as overseas.![]()
Stocks or Stock Funds?
Should I dump those boring stock funds for a
handful of shares in a few zesty companies?- Hasnt this question arisen in your mind
when you have decided to go in for equity related investments. And it is pretty clear that
the movement in stock prices is reflected in the corresponding funds after a time
lag. So is it be better to go in for stocks or stock funds?![]()
Trading Places and Styles
As an investor you should develop a strategy or
game plan that is consistent with your goals and style. The ultimate goal is to make money
(win), but there are many different methods to go about it. You could be comfortable with
a conservative style or an aggressive style depending upon your personality.![]()
How to Choose your Online Broker
Selection of an online broker depends on his physical infrastructure and research backing
apart from the regular requirements. So remember as in every service customer is
king and you have the right to choose the service which suits you the best. And drive a
hard bargain![]()
Is a Monkey Portfolio better ?
A buy and hold is definitely good as long it is a long run play and the investor has
researched the fundamental strengths of the stock. However, mutual funds provide a medium
for uninformed investors to participate indirectly in short term profits. But don't fall
into the monkey portfolio trap![]()
Magic Mantras for Smart Investing
The secret of making money at the stock markets doesnt lie in buying low and selling
high, but more on identification of what to buy and what to sell (where many investors go
wrong) and then buying or selling the same smartly, i.e. at the right time and price!![]()
Day Trading - More Science than Art
Learn to trade with uncertainty. Successful traders are
comfortable with risk. They know that they can't wait for certainty for the trade to be
profitable before they do the trade. They trade in anticipation of a pattern or event.
This mindset is extremely difficult and is usually the trader's waterloo![]()
Exit Badla, enter BLESS
The existing system of Badla lacks transparency and the
rates are determined more by the random forces of demand and supply. And that is where the
new BLESS on the lines of NSE's ALBM assumes importance as a exchange sponsored borrowing
and lending mechanism.![]()
Fly-by-night Tech Companies
Most Tech companies which made an IPO debut in the last year are non-existent or illiquid.
In all this it was the Investor who was made the scapegoat. Many of them lost their shirts
in the process. The question is to how to avoid the next big craze, be it biotech or media![]()
Rolling Settlement rolls on
Rolling settlements is actually a welcome move. It will go a long way in reducing
transaction costs in the market by narrowing the bid-ask spreads. It will also eliminate
the need to synchronize the settlement dates on the NSE and the BSE and ensure that
mindless arbitrage is eliminated![]()
US GAAP versus Indian GAAP
Learn to read between the lines of US GAAP and Indian GAAP. Items like ESOP costs,
deferred taxes, important write-offs on account of bad investments, doubtful trade
receivables etc., made by the companies in their annual, half yearly or quarterly results
are key differences![]()
More Transparency, less IPOs
The recent changes in IPO guidelines by SEBI are likely to
bring more transparency and less IPOs. While these changes will eliminate unwanted
elements from participating in money raising activities in the market they also mean that
the IPO market is unlikely to pick up in the near future![]()
Pretty Stocks - Irresistible
Temptation
Bloated valuations of IT scrips now look like a thing of the past. The patrons' neglect
looks like did the trick as the beauties which had turned to gym after being ignored for a
long, have returned back slim, smart and of course are looking irresistibly attractive!
Can anybody resist ?![]()
Quarterly Results - Say Hello!!
In today's changing business landscape where technology obsolescence is so high,
international trade barriers are falling and information dissemination is rapid and fast,
there needs to be room for greater transparency and information sharing by companies.
Quarterly results are the answer![]()
Hey ! You got a Warning in Your Mail
A rational investor should not be swayed by short-term hiccups and take his or her
investment decision keeping in mind his/her long-term investment objective only. Profit
warnings should not be allowed to sway market sentiment. Happy New Year and wise investing![]()
Indian ADRs - Ditched Darlings
Infy, the darling of millions of investors, seems to have
lost its glamour and charm for its US patrons and Sify is suddenly unsexy. Hit and wounded
by the Nasdaq bullet, the Indian ADRs have been put on a fatal diet by the bear operators
in the US markets. A tale of ditched darlings![]()
Strategy to Time the Market
The stock market is not an anxious game of Las Vegas roulette. In roulette, the longer
they stay in, the greater their chance of experiencing a big loss. With stocks, history
shows the opposite to be true. The easiest way to improve gain is to hang on to your
portfolio![]()
Price to Sales ratio : Better than P/E
With investors increasingly getting disillusioned with the P/E ratio, the trend is more
towards the usage of Price/Sales ratio. Apart from being a cycle-neutral ratio, the P/S
ratio is more eminently suited to the unique requirements of the dotcom business. Find out
why it is better than P/E![]()
MSCI - Full marks for Free Float
The IMF estimates that the share of India in the MSCI All Country World Index could come
down from the current 7.5 to 4.25 per cent, if MSCI applies its free float principle to
Indian stocks. Meaning Indian markets will have to pay the price of illiquidity in the
lower of lower FII inflows![]()
Market Liquidity matters
Be it gold, real estate, equities, debt, or bank deposits, each has its own liquidity
factor. In fact other than the traditional measures of risk and return, what can really
make a difference to an investment decision is the liquidity or otherwise of the asset.
Why liquidity matters a lot![]()
Trading Days are here Again
In investing, intuition also plays an important role. Good intuition derives from
experience and good psychological habits. Losing money can be very upsetting, but you need
to be consistent and not quit the game easily. Learn to use a loss as a lesson, just as
professional traders do![]()
Book Building is here to stay
The IPO market has undergone a sea change. With every issuer of equity shares of
Rs 250 million and above having an option to make an issue through the Book Building
Process, the age of the big boys has begun. And going by recent trends, this process is
here to stay![]()
It is time for Value Investing now
In the current market value investing seems to be the investing magic wand. Sectors like
infotech, pharma, telecom, cables, paints and may be even cement merit an investment and
remember the saying that when the shoe shine boy starts giving you tips, its time to get
out of the stock![]()
Interpreting Company Annual Reports
The annual report of a company is more than just a routine feature. It contains valuable
information on the health and cash flow position of the company. How can an investor
interpret income statements and balance sheets to get a bird's eye view of company
financials![]()
Wipro lists on Big Apple
Wipro has finally made its presence on the Big Apple. The recent ADS listing is
one such step. The company issued American Depository Shares (ADS) and got listed on
NewYork Stock Exchange (NYSE). What are the company's future plans and where does it go
from here ![]()
Bajoria pecks at Takeover Code
The Bombay Dyeing Takeover story has had several twists and turns over the last
fortnight with excessive wrangling between Arun Bajoria and Bombay Dyeing over alleged
violation of takeover code. Apparently the Takeover Code has outlived and needs a serious
rethink![]()
Sensex Southward Ahoy
The downward movement of the Sensex over the past few weeks has been disconcerting. After
breaching the psychological support level of 3800 it is now looking at a level of 3600 to
settle down. What are the implications of the falling sensex on investor confidence and
future of markets...........more
IPO Devolvement - Low Retail
Confidence
Increasingly major IPO issues are getting devolved on the underwriters. The chilling trend
has been that while the book built portion is being oversubscribed, the public portion is
being devolved. Maybe the Sebi can do well to permit companies to retain the
oversubscribed portion of the book built portion ..........more
Whimsical bears grip Dalal Street
The last couple of weeks has seen a virtual domination of bears on Dalal Street.
Uncertainty over oil prices and the weakening rupee have been responsible for this bear
run. What does the markets hold in store? When is the market likely to see a revival
..........more
Understanding the Media Buzz
With the slowdown in the TMT stocks, once darlings of the bourses media stocks seem to
have come a full circle. But in many ways the action may have just begun. With
narrowcasting on the anvil and convergence waiting to happen, the real media boom is
perhaps round the corner..........more
IPO - Damsel in distress
It has been a bad 6 months for the IPO markets. Most of the big bang issues of the early
part of 2000 have done abysmally in the post listing phase, Cadilla, Cinevista and Elder
Pharma being some of the examples. What does this augur for the IPO markets in general and
premium issues in particular.........more
Why Hughes Tele.com is attractive
The recent IPO by Hughes Tele.com offers a golden opportunity to take a long term bet on
the telecom industry. With the Tax rebate benefits extended to the company, any medium
term investor can make a killing by taking a long position in Hughes Tele.com. Short term
investors better stay away...........more
VSNL : What a Bonus
The recent decision of VSNL to issue a 2:1 bonus is definitely to meet the paid up capital
requirements as stipulated by the government. But what is likely to be the impact on VSNL
prices with the equity substantially diluted? Is the government policy in the right
direction on this front? .......more
Telecom stocks are happening
If software is not steaming hot, media is hype and cement is unsexy what do investors do?
Not to worry, telecom is really happening. With the explosive growth of the internet and
convergence business growing, all the segments of the telecom industry hold tremendous
potential for the Indian investor.......more
FIIs : Alive and Kicking
Are FIIs net sellers and getting out of the Indian markets? Have they stopped influencing
the movements of the Sensex? Not if one looks at recent statistics. FIIs continue to be
the prime movers behind the sensex movements and their impact if any is only getting
stronger than before ..........more
Dotcoms better get transparent
The recent report of the Malegam Committee is likely to be a watershed in valuing internet
IPOs in the Indian market. The report has called for greater transparency and better
disclosure practices for dotcoms going public. How well this followed up will largely rest
on SEBI..........more
Pharma - A new medicine
With software scrips and ICE stocks showing their true colors, it is perhaps time for
investors to look at other investment avenues. Pharma which has grown smartly in the last
one year and coupled with biotechnology poses a major challenge for software as the
preferred investment sector for investors.......more
Stock Splits - In vogue
Indian markets have seen a spate of stock splits in the recent past with companies
increasingly splitting to bring them into a more popular trading gamut. But have stock
splits added value in India? Has it atleast been instrumental in bringing illiquid stocks
into the liquidity gamut?.........more
Dotcom Valuation goes traditional
The recent shakeout in the dotcom companies world over has redirected thinking on dotcom
valuation along traditional lines. Investors are increasingly veering towards the view
that in the dotcom business like in any other business what finally matters is the future
cash flows...........more
Bharti Telecom - IPO once again?
Bharti Telecom is in the news again and this time with its proposed mega IPO issue. But
considering the poor returns to Bharti shareholders in the past and the slow growth of
private sector basic services, how attractive is this IPO issue? Is that more to it than
meets the eye.........more
Bajaj Buyback, Dive or Thrive
The decision of Bajaj Auto to revise the buyback price to Rs.400 strikes a delicate
balance between the interests of exiting and continuing shareholders. But the issue of a
creeping rise in promoters stake needs to be understood in a broader and more analytical
perspective...........more
Talaaq, Talaaq, Talaaq
Recent trends show that the positive movement relationship between the Nasdaq and BSE has
been bucked. Does it mean that the Sensex has stopped catching a cold when Nasdaq sneezes?
Not if you appreciate the fact that the link is still strong and only taking different
forms...........more
E*trading is Easy trading
In the realm of online ebusiness the in thing today is etrading. Not surprising because
the extent to which it empowers the investor is unprecedented in the annals of financial
market history. What does etrading do, how it enhances investing quality and where it
stands in India .........more
Arbitrage - Safety with Smartness
The introduction of index futures ushers in the possibility of riskless arbitrage between
stocks and futures. An investor can perfectly hedge his position as also the investor can
profit from pricing anomalies by going long or short on index futures. How can an investor
actually benefit...........more
Choosing your Investment Mix
In a market scenario marked by volatility how does an investor choose his right investment
mix. Should an investor be overweight on equities, mutual funds or bonds. Remember the
golden rule of not putting all your eggs in one investment basket still holds good in a
volatile market..........more
Circuit Breaker Relax!
The recent decision of SEBI to relax the circuit breaker from 12% to 16% in select scrips
could bring about the much needed predictability to Indian equity markets. SEBI seems to
have finally realized that compressing circuit breakers only increases volatility instead
of curbing it..........more
ADR@Rediff.com
The recent listing of Rediff.com's ADR at $21 brings good tidings for Indian dotcom
ventures. How is Rediff going to deploy these funds and what are its future revenue
streams? More importantly what does this imply for horizontal and vertical portals in
India.........more
IDBI's Death Call
The recent decision of IDBI to call back its flexibond series deep discount bond issued in
1996 spells a death knell to the lakhpati dreams of millions of Indian investors. Where
did the Indian investor go wrong in his judgement and why an investor needs to read the
fine print more carefully..........more
Charge of the FII Brigade
In the last few years the foreign institutional investors (FIIs) have come to play a
predominant role in Indian markets. Do the FIIs continue to determine the direction of the
markets? What are the implications of FII predominance? Do statistics bear out to the
significance of FIIs in the markets...........more
Market Volatility
During the recent bull run and the subsequent bear attack markets exhibited extremely
volatility. Also a trend of markets registering huge intra-day gains and losses has become
the order of the day. What does it mean for investors? What is the method that an investor
can discern out of this madness of volatility..........more
Satyam's Trump Card
The share prices of Satyam have been see-sawing over the past few days moved by a variety
of positive and negative news relating to the company. What are the implications of this
volatility and why is Sebi taking a serious look at news leakage during trading
hours..........more
MSCI Recast
The recent decision of the Morgan Stanley Capital Index to reduce India weightage and
change the composition raises interesting questions about the timing and implications. If
the idea was to include software stocks then why was it done when the tech stocks were at
the lowest? How can an investor also be an arbiter of investment weightages and priorities
.........more.
Sensex Jitters
In the past couple of months the BSE Sensex has become highly volatile. The secular trend
which was typical of the sensex some time ago is now conspicuous by its absence. What does
a volatile sensex mean to investors in particulars and the markets in general ........ more
And the Crash
Information Technology was the buzz on the bourses
few days back which had powered the Sensex beyond the 6000 mark, albeit briefly.
Ironically, these are the same stocks that brought the sensex down to less than 5000 in
the last one month. How and why did the sensex jump so high and why did it fail to
sustain?........ more
Private Party
Private placements are an innovative method for investors to make an assured
killing in the market without a lock-in stipulation. But this has generated an unhealthy
practice of unscrupulous promoters with little commitment to the project making hay while
the sun shines. Welcome to the murky world of private placements......... more
ICE ICE Baby
The ICE revolution in the Indian markets has drawn a clear
line of demarcation between the old economy sectors like cement, steel, aluminum and
banking and the new economy ICE sectors. Stars of yesteryears like ACC, Tisco, Reliance,
Telco and SBI have given way to the likes of Wipro, Infosys, Satyam and Zee Telefilms.....
more
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