The latest buzzword ready to hit Indian financial
markets is Derivative. Derivatives are wasting assets, which derive their
values from an underlying asset. These underlying assets are of various categories like
equity, bonds, commodities etc. For example, a dollar Forward is a derivative contract,
which gives the buyer a right & an obligation to buy dollars at some future date. The
prices of the derivatives are driven by the spot prices of these underlying assets.
There is a debate going on in the Indian financial
circles on the issue of introduction of derivatives. World over, in developed financial
markets, these instruments have been in vogue for quite sometime now. The arguments in
favor are as follows:
- A tool for hedging
: Derivatives provides an excellent mechanism
to hedge the future price risk. Think of a farmer, who doesnt know what price he is
going to get for his crop at the time of harvest. He can sell his crop in the
futures market & lock in the price. If the future spot price is more than the
futures price, he can take the off setting position & can get out of the market (with
a marginal loss). Otherwise he will get the locked in price.
: Derivatives provide an excellent mechanism to
Portfolio Managers for managing the portfolio risk and to Treasury Managers for managing
interest rate risk. The importance of index futures & Forward Rate Agreement (FRA) in
this process cant be overstated.
- Better avenues for raising money
: With the introduction of
currency & interest rate swaps, Indian corporate will be able to raise finance from
global markets at better terms.
: These derivative instruments make the spot
price discovery more reliable using different models like Normal Backwardation hypothesis.
These instruments will cause any arbitrage opportunities to disappear & will lead to
better price discovery.
- Increasing the depth of financial markets
: When a financial
market gets such sort of risk-management tools, its depth increases since the
Institutional Investors get better ways of hedging their risks against unfavorable market
movements.
- Derivatives market on Indian underlying elsewhere
: These days,
with the advent of technology, Indian prices are available globally on Reuters &
Knightrider. Nothing prevents any foreign market from launching derivatives on these
Indian underlying. This will put Indians in a disadvantageous position as they cant
take the advantages of derivatives of securities or commodities traded in India but
someone lese can take. So we will have to move fast in this direction.
: There is strong empirical evidence from
other countries that after derivative markets have come about, the liquidity and market
efficiency of the underlying market has improved.
Now taking a look at arguments against :-
: Many people fear that these instruments will
unnecessarily increase the speculation in the financial markets, which can have far
reaching consequences. The recent Barrings Bank incident is the classic case in point.
: Many people fear that the Indian markets are
not mature & efficient enough to introduce these instruments. These instruments
require a well functioning & mature spot market. Like recently The Economic Times
reported the strong correlation of Indian equity markets to the NASDAQ. Such type of
market imperfections makes the functioning of derivatives market all the more difficult.
: The increased speculation & inefficient market
will make the spot market more volatile with the introduction of derivatives.
- Counter party risk
: Most of the derivative intruments are not
exchange traded. So there is a counter party default risk in these intruments. Again the
same Barrings case, Barrings declared itself bankrupt when it faced huge losses in these
instruments.
- Liquidity risk
: Liquidity of a market means the ease with which
one can enter or get out of the market. There is a continued debate about the Indian
markets capability to provide enough liquidity to derivative trader.
So one can see that the pros of derivatives far
outweigh the cons. And moreover, by imposing margin requirements, by limiting the exposure
one can take and other measures like that, these vices of derivatives can be controlled.
The importance of derivatives for any financial market cant be overstated.
What will happen to Indian Financial market, when
the derivatives will be launched, is yet to be sen, but for the market & the
institutional investors, its a welcome step.
Rajneesh Mittal