| Fool Proof Investment Strategies |
Emerging from this years equity markets debacle are some
important investment strategies, which if by-hearted will ensure that you remain heart
burn free.
Firstly, have a gameplan in mind. Keep the big picture in mind and then move ahead.
Without a road map and clear destination, it was easy to get sidetracked by the blaring
horns and gyrating neon -- software this, IPO that etc. Tailgating the latest trend
rarely works. A recent international study has proven that (Financial Research Corp.)
found that fund investors sliced 20 percent of their returns over the past decade by
chasing hot performers. The basic thought is that: You need a plan, and not one that says
buy high, sell low. What are your goals? When do you need the money? How much risk can you
take? - think like a financial planner and ask all these questions to form your grand
financial plan. And when you have a plan, you will be able to sit through the
markets ups and downs dispassionately. Also when eyeing your returns keep them
reasonable. Dont keep thinking of the returns of the boom times - think of those as
bonus keep your expectations are in line with reality.For all those years of 50 percent
plus returns in the past decade, there may well be times when the market doesn't do much.
Some years you may even lose money. Get used to it and build the long term trend into your
plan.
Secondly, always always and always - insist on quality stocks. Whether the stock is
big or bite-size, go-go growth or steady value, it should be a quality company with good
earnings, pristine balance sheets and topnotch management. Infatuation with media, techie
-- and the explosions of software IPOs -- led too many of us to stray from market
leaders to early-stage startups with uncertain business models. So, dont repeat this
mistake. Real fundamentals do matter. And owning the great companies of the world --
that's where individual investors should focus.
Remember, no one has ever lost big, over the long run, when they bought quality companies
after significant crashes. That's why fund managers love big downturns, because they can
load up on their favorite stocks at bargain prices. Investors should think exactly the
same way. Dips in the market are good things because they give you opportunities.
Corrections are good for investors because they purge the market of untested companies
with "flaky business plans" and flushed out speculators who drove up prices to
unjustifiable highs. So, use dips to buy at the right price. Of course, it's tough to get
into a buying mood amid bleak headlines of corporate layoffs, missed earnings estimates,
and sinking consumer confidence. But try to set emotions aside. Today's slowdown will be
forgotten once you see the prices at which the quality beauties are available.
Agreed, no one can pick the precise moment when a particular stock or sector has hit its
lows. Rather, this is about having discipline. Buy stocks when their PEG ratio
(price/earnings ratio divided by expected earnings growth rate) is less than 1.5. Stocks
that are growing significantly faster than the market average may deserve a higher PEG.
It's also valuable to compare the stock's P/E and growth rate with the market's. Best
bets: stocks growing faster than the index companies as a whole and trading at a P/E
that's lower than the group P/E.
Also cover your back by spreading your money across a variety of stocks and industries, so
that your net worth doesn't hinge on any one sector. Next, you want to balance the growth
in your portfolio with value stocks with very low P/E ratios. And don't forget to think
small. Dazzled by large-caps, many investors have ignored stocks with small market
capitalizations. But the small-fry sometimes outperform the big fish. An equity portfolio
that encompasses these strategies might look like this: 40 percent in core growth
companies that have strong brands and predictable earnings (HL, Colgate, Archies,
Dr.Reddys); 20 percent in more aggressive growth companies (Infosys, NIIT), still
keeping that focus on quality; 20 percent in value stocks (GACL, Punjab tractors); and 20
percent in a good small-cap companies (Alps Industries, Aurobindo Pharma). Just as you
can't buy and ignore, you can't allocate and ignore. Check your portfolio at least
annually to ensure that one sector hasn't become too large, and use the market's ups and
downs to trim outsize positions or add to holdings where you could use additional
exposure.
Aru Srivastava
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