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Feb 12th India’s Growth Story: From Budget To Elections

More than the budget, the stock markets are looking forward to the elections right now, said some of the experts at the ninth edition of The Finapolis Knowledge Series held in Hyderabad on February 12, 2019.

The Finapolis Knowledge Series is an endeavour by the Karvy group to spread awareness on a variety of topics of interest to businesses, investors and individuals.

In the ninth edition, four panelists deliberated on the topic “India’s Growth Story: From Budget To Elections”. The panel comprised Aarati Krishnan, consulting editor for Value Research and the Hindu Group, Shubham Agarwal, founder and CEO of fintech firm Quantsapp, M.R. Vikram, chartered accountant and partner of M Anandam and Co, and C. Parthasarathy, chairman of the Karvy Group. The discussion was moderated by former resident editor of Times of India, Kingshuk Nag.

“The market was not very excited about the budget. It got absorbed as if the market was already expecting it to happen. The markets enjoy events. If the Narendra Modi-led government returns to power in the elections, the July budget will not be an event for the markets. However, if the government changes there might be a dramatic difference as the focus area may shift completely,” said Shubham Agarwal.

“The stock market should not give too much importance to this budget. It wasn’t very upset during budget day and did not move wildly. The focus would be on who comes to power and whether there is a coalition,” said Aarati Krishnan.

“There is an open school of thought that believes that as economies mature, the dividing line between the government and the economy is very clear and irrespective of who comes to power, the economy will continue on its growth path. That is the established understanding of economic growth. Hence, no matter who comes to power in July, it will have very little impact on the economy even if the markets feel some pressure,” said C. Parthasarathy.


Jul 27 Bulls, Bears and Politics: The Impact of Politics on Stock Markets

Not just the general elections in 2019, but the state elections in Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh in the end of the year are going to play an important role in determining the stock market’s trajectory this year, said experts at the eighth edition of The Finapolis Knowledge Series held in Hyderabad on July 27.

The Finapolis Knowledge Series is an endeavour by the Karvy group to spread awareness on a variety of topics of interest to businesses, investors and individuals.

In the eighth edition, four panellists deliberated on the topic “Bulls, Bears and Politics: The Impact of Politics on Stock Markets”. The panel featured Manish Gunwani, chief investment officer of Reliance Mutual Fund, Rajat Jain, chief investment officer at Principal Mutual Fund India, R Srinivasan, editor of The Hindu Business Line, and Nadendla Manohar, former speaker of the Andhra Pradesh Legislative Assembly.

In the keynote address, V Ganesh, CEO of Karvy Computershare, said the government is likely to boost expenditure in infrastructure before the elections, which will impact the markets.

“The market will be looking at two factors in the run-up to the elections — how the political alliances evolve and the three state elections of Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh in November and December. The existing government has a lot of seats in this belt. Even the vote swings will be analysed threadbare to get a sense of how things are moving. Any news of alliance in the states will have a certain impact on the markets,” said Manish Gunwani.

“Markets would like predictability and certainty,” said Rajat Jain.

“Domestic investors do not like to be a part of uncertainty and hence, they only participate after the elections,” said R Srinivasan.

Agreeing with other panellists that the markets look for stability in governance, Nadendla Manohar said, “The markets doing well is a reflection of the economy. However, there are several other issues other than political ones at play in the markets. The agrarian sector is badly hit and the farmers believe that the government has not done enough. Whatever they have done in the form of the recent minimum support price programme has come too late. These factors will play an important role in the markets and in politics this year,” he said.

All panellists agreed that in the election year markets do well and eventually what happens depends on the budget.

“There a lot of participation of retail investors who comprise more than half of mutual fund assets, at present. A good chunk of this is also on equity. These make the political parties more accountable,” Rajat Jain said.

The evening ended with the audience seeking answers from the panellists on the impact of geo-political tensions on the Indian equity markets and the overall political scenario.

MAR 09 The Economy: Will it be a roller coaster ride?

The cosy relationship between the government and industrial houses can be one of the primary reasons for the rise in non-performing assets of the banking sector which is under the control of the government, said experts at the panel discussion on ‘The Economy: Will it be a roller coaster ride?’ organised by Karvy as part of ‘The Finapolis Knowledge Series’.

The panel discussion featured economic and political analyst Mohan Guruswamy, Santanu Mukherjee, former MD of State Bank of Hyderabad, and Vetri Subramaniam, group president and head equity of UTI Asset Management Company Ltd.

“The banking sector is in a state of crisis and while the RBI has been sleeping, the government has not cracked the whip,” said Guruswamy. He said the political system needed to be reformed to prevent siphoning of funds.

There is also a need to integrate use of technology to crack down on tax defaulters. “In Europe, if you are a tax payer, you will get a notice from the IT department with your social security number and the tax you are expected to pay,” said Mukherjee. A similar system could do wonders in India.

“One of the primary concerns of the economy is that there is not enough credit to lend to genuine borrowers. The lending ability of banks is constrained and to some extent, growth also gets constrained and this in turns limit’s the economy’s potential to grow,” said Subramaniam.

JAN 11 Will Budget 2018 Kickstart Growth and Employment?

Deviating from the popular perception that the Union Budget would be a populist one, panelists speaking at the 6th edition of The Finapolis Knowledge Series organized by the Karvy Group at Park Hotel on January 11 agreed that Finance Minister Arun Jaitley would focus on spending more to create employment opportunities.

Karvy Group chairman and Managing Director C. Parthasarathy, who was one of the panelist speaking on ‘Will Budget 2018 Kickstart Growth and Employment?’, said the Union Budget would be growth oriented. Other speakers were chartered accountant M.R Vikram, Editorial Director of Business Standard A.K. Bhattacharya and Partner in Gandhi and Gandhi chartered accountant firm Ajay Gandhi.



AUG 24 Startups: Is There a Formula for Success

Although there is no magic mantra for success in start-ups, the best formula to get started is it to “Just do It”, said the panelists at the 5th edition of The Finapolis Knowledge Series organised by the Karvy Group on August 24 at The Trident, Hyderabad.

Popular names in the business Dr. Srikanth Sundararajan, Mr Rahul Narvekar, Mr Srinivas Kollipara and Ms Lakshmi Nambiar spoke on the topic “Startups: Is There a Formula for Success” amidst an august gathering of entrepreneurs, academicians and students.

JUN 30 Future of Globalisation:Challenges and Opportunities

The fourth edition evaluated what future of India holds in terms of opportunities and possible areas of challenges in the environment of rapid globalisation. Panelists were of the opinion that India can play a major role in the global space in spite of China being seen as a rising economy and tough competitor in world markets.

MAY 05 Is this the Mother of all Bull Runs

The third edition of the Finapolis series witnessed tremendous footfall especially due to well-known panelists. The discussion centered around common stock market myths and analysed investor speculation while also being suggestive that equities remains the best bet, being one of the strongest in the asset class.

MAR 17 GST: A mantra for growth

The second edition discussed the myriad after effects of a unified tax structure which was then under talks to be implemented in India: the Goods and Services tax. The discussion debated if this new tax structure could be India’s new mantra for growth.

JAN 25 What should the Union Budget do to rev-up growth and create jobs

The first edition of the series was a discussion on how the Indian budget could boost employment opportunities and trigger growth in national income.

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